Election 2020: Polls Don't Mean Everything
The media have obsessed about a new Morning Consult poll that found President Trump at the lowest net approval rating of his presidency. Following the release of the Mueller report, the weekly tracking poll pegged President Trump’s net approval of -18 percent; even lower than his previous low points, which followed his Charlottesville comments and the partial government shutdown. The Morning Consult poll found that 39 percent of voters approve of President Trump’s performance while 57 percent disapprove. Let’s take a look at the polls of a roughly comparable time in American history. In February 1991, Gallup pegged President George H.W. Bush’s approval rating at 89 percent. Had a presidential election occurred that month, Bush likely would have destroyed his Democratic rival in the biggest electoral landslide in American history. The low point of George H.W. Bush’s presidency, in terms of approval rating, came much closer to the actual P...